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Dagens spill:

 

Handicapper: Matt Fargo Sports

Sport: NFL Football

Game: Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions - Sunday December 11, 2011 1:00 pm

Pick: 3 units ATS: Detroit Lions -9.5 (-110)

 

After a great start to the season, the Lions are falling fast as they have dropped five of their last seven games but confidence should not be an issue. Detroit is still very involved in the Wild Card race and it was fortunate that the other four teams fighting for those playoff spots also lost last week. At 7-5, Detroit needs to make a push with this game being a must win and not only to avoid a sixth loss overall, but to avoid a sixth loss in the conference, which is one of the tiebreakers should it come down to that.

 

The Vikings are coming off a devastating loss to the Broncos last week as they were hit by the Tebow train as many teams have already. Minnesota is off to the worst start in franchise history and things are only getting worse. The offense took a hit with Adrian Peterson missing the last two games, and he remains questionable this week. Now the quarterback position is in disarray once again as Christian Ponder will sit out. Enter Joe Webb and his 60.9 career passer rating.

 

The Lions showed last week that they can hang around with the elite teams in the NFL but the problem is that they are incredibly undisciplined. They committed two costly personal fouls as well as three offensive interference penalties that cost them numerous yards and probable points. This is an issue that cannot be rectified overnight but lessons were learned and head coach Jim Schwartz called a private meeting with the team captains on the way home and things will be different this week.

 

The Vikings defense has been solid against the run this season but that is about it. They are allowing 252.2 ypg through the air which is 26th in the league and their 27.5 ppg allowed is second most in the NFL, ahead of only the lowly Colts. Even last season when the Vikings were 6-10, the defense allowed fewer than 300 total yards six times and this year have done so only once showing how much they have digressed. Detroit has put up over 400 yards of offense in three straight games and that continues this week.

 

An offense that should go nowhere with Webb and a defense with too many holes spells blowout and a much needed confidence boost for the Lions. Detroit has played the third toughest schedule in the NFL and finally catch a break here after a brutal stretch of games. The Vikings are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a victorious record with a negative scoring differential of nearly two touchdowns per game. The Lions meanwhile have covered four straight against losing teams

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Dagens dobbler:

 

 

Athletic Bilbao - Racing De Santander (1X2)

1

1.44

 

 

 

Novara - Napoli (1X2)

2

1.73

 

 

Total odds

2.49

 

 

 

 

Boca Juniors - CA All Boys (1X2)

1

1.62

 

 

Lorient - Lyon (1X2)

2

2.60

 

Total odds

4.21

Endret av Berbashow
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Er det noen her som faktisk tjener penger på dette? Og hvordan vet dere hva dere skal bette på? Følger dere en "ekspert" eller noe?

Jeg driver min egen database og spiller utifra teknisk verdi. Funker ganske fint langsiktig.

Du kan vel legge databasen ut her? :):love:

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Rangers under 5.5 ikveld! ;)

 

 

 

Når en velger vanlige slike under/over bets på hockey, da er det bare til fulltid sant? Ikke med overtid?

Alltid med OT og SO! ;) (SO teller bare som 1 mål til vinnerlaget, hvis det var noe tvil rundt det)

Endret av *@lex*
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Er det noen her som faktisk tjener penger på dette? Og hvordan vet dere hva dere skal bette på? Følger dere en "ekspert" eller noe?

Jeg driver min egen database og spiller utifra teknisk verdi. Funker ganske fint langsiktig.

Du kan vel legge databasen ut her? :):love:

Som i en sql dump? Tror ikke det ville gitt deg stort, men alt er jo fritt tilgjengelig og formatert på PreMatches.com uansett.

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Køln er jo extremt streaky. Virker som halve norge inkludert alle nettaviser spiller dem i dag. Da holder jeg meg langt unna!

 

Spansk cup driter jo lagene langt i og sender vel knapt b-lagene.

Men selv du vet at b-laget til Real er bedre enn de fleste lag i segunda liga. :)

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Køln er jo extremt streaky. Virker som halve norge inkludert alle nettaviser spiller dem i dag. Da holder jeg meg langt unna!

 

Spansk cup driter jo lagene langt i og sender vel knapt b-lagene.

Men selv du vet at b-laget til Real er bedre enn de fleste lag i segunda liga. :)

 

Kanskje ikke så gærne, men ligger i divisjonen under, segunda b, gruppe 1 :-)

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